A Scientific Review Behind Lockdown: Policy Caused More Deaths From COVID-19

Isolation and Shutting Down of Schools Might Have Aggravated the Effects of Coronavirus

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According to a recent research study conducted, it has been reviewed that the countrywide lockdown implementation done across multiple countries around the world was a mistaken move and had potentially caused more deaths from COVID-19 lockdown than the actual deadly effects of the viral infection.

Analytic report regarding COVID-19 prevention strategy

As stated in a thorough report regarding the effects of coronavirus infection in the United Kingdom, the educational institutes, including schools, should not have been shut down during the surge of coronavirus infections. Only older individuals, who are more prone to the coronavirus infection due to their decreased and limited immunity system of the body, should have been completely isolated.

During the past months, the implementation of herd immunity might have been a better option to curb the rapid spread and deaths from COVID-19. The herd immunity is a concept during which, when most individuals are immune to a specific viral infection, it could indirectly provide immunity to those who are prone to acquiring the infection or disease.

The research paper was written by some of the researching team at the University of Edinburgh, stating that implementation of nationwide lockdown has not prevented deaths from COVID-19, but has simply delayed or postponed them from happening.

There is evidence that suggests that another different strategy is required to be applied to combat the deadly coronavirus pandemic that is needed, which does not impose empty restrictions across the community.

The researchers who have written the scientific report are from the Department of Physics and Astronomy, which is quite odd when compared with their area of study with their research topic.

For this, one of the author’s Professor Graeme Ackland, said that since the start of the pandemic, every epidemiologist across the world is working continuously to produce new studies regarding the coronavirus pandemic in a limited time period due to the increasing deaths from COVID-19.

Due to this, they do not have the time nor personnel required to conduct a thorough study or even a carefully conducted peer review. But there are hundreds of qualified individuals present that are able to do data-cleaning, checking of codes, replication, and validation.

The serious societies present of epidemiologists have allowed the research group to conduct a study as they understand the increased capacity of group thinking in closed communities, which would not have been made possible if the epidemiologists have the time themselves to go through the complete process which could possibly help reduce the number of deaths from COVID-19.

This report is not a criticism of the model prepared for combat and limit deaths from COVID-19, but it is made to assess and improve a wider range of scenarios that were originally done.

 Aim and conclusion of the report

The aim of writing this research paper was to provide replication and analysis of the data available to the United Kingdom’s policymakers when the decision to implement as a nationwide lockdown was taken in the month of March. This paper provides the conclusion that the original model made on the basis of the reproduction number of 3.5 to fight against the coronavirus pandemic would have worked better and might have resulted and fewer deaths from COVID-19.

The countermeasure for that model suggested that closure of educational institutes and isolation of all individuals, especially young and old, would have increased the rate of deaths from COVID-19, but might have decreased the possibility of a more deadly second and third waves of coronavirus from happening.

When a similar model was applied amid the coronavirus pandemic surge in Sweden, the affected numbers were less than the expected outcome. During the early period of the pandemic, the increased number of deaths from COVID-19 was not the cause of widespread fear, but it was the mitigation strategy that included the complete isolation of the patient, social distancing of the geriatric population, and household quarantine, which has caused 250,000 deaths from COVID-19 infection.

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